
Doug Lawrence
Professional Guide

Surface Water Modelling
Ensuring Reliable Water Supply
Reliable projects depend on reliable water — and rainfall variability makes that hard to judge.
Bioresources Africa provides clear, quantified assessments of surface water reliability, replacing assumptions with defensible analysis.
We build catchment-specific rainfall–runoff models, using decades of data to determine how often water will actually be available, not just when it looks good on paper. This turns uncertainty into measurable risk.
We specialise in data-scarce regions north of South Africa, where conventional data sources are limited, costly, or unreliable. Our methods are designed to work where others struggle.
Each model is custom-built and iterative, developed in close collaboration with clients. The result is clear, decision-ready outputs — including risk curves and supply-reliability charts that directly inform project sizing, phasing, and investment decisions.
Where required, we integrate bias-corrected climate change projections to test future runoff scenarios and long-term water security.
Know your water.
Manage your risk.
Build with confidence.

